# Lynnhaven, VA king tide and flood history since 1996

> Since 1996, NOAA's Sewells Point tide gauge has recorded water high enough for FloodRoute's model to put at least one Lynnhaven road at risk on 106 days, about 3 a year. The highest water was 7.89 ft on Thursday, September 18, 2003, 5.18 ft above the tide tables; at that level the model estimates 14 Lynnhaven roads were at risk, including Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road and South Kings Road. Those days have become more common: about 2 a year in 1996–2005, versus 5 a year in 2016–2025.

**Estimates, not records of actual flooding.** Each day is NOAA's verified high water at the tide gauge, run through FloodRoute's flood model on today's roads and elevations, in dry weather. Drains, levees, tide gates, rain, road changes and elevation error all mean real conditions differed. Not for property, real-estate, insurance, lending, engineering or legal decisions.

- Gauge: NOAA 8638610 (Sewells Point), verified data Jan 1, 1996 – Sep 30, 2026
- Live forecast: [Lynnhaven flood forecast](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven.md)

## The biggest days

| Date | High water (Sewells Point gauge, ft MLLW) | vs tide tables | Roads at risk | Severity | Deepest streets (model) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2003 | 7.89 | +5.18 ft | 14 | Severe | Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road, South Kings Road |
| Nov 12, 2009 | 7.73 | +5.20 ft | 12 | Severe | Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road, South Kings Road |
| Aug 27, 2011 | 7.55 | +4.43 ft | 10 | Severe | Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road, South Kings Road |
| Nov 13, 2009 | 7.31 | +4.35 ft | 4 | Severe | Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road, South Kings Road |
| Oct 29, 2012 | 6.79 | +3.70 ft | 2 | Severe | Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road |
| Nov 22, 2006 | 6.63 | +3.76 ft | 1 | Severe | Hutton Lane |
| Feb 5, 1998 | 6.58 | +4.35 ft | 1 | Severe | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 7, 2006 | 6.52 | +2.92 ft | 1 | Severe | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 4, 2015 | 6.50 | +3.49 ft | 1 | Severe | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 28, 2012 | 6.40 | +3.72 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 6, 2006 | 6.32 | +3.09 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 2, 2015 | 6.18 | +2.80 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |

## Most recent days

| Date | High water (Sewells Point gauge, ft MLLW) | vs tide tables | Roads at risk | Severity | Deepest streets (model) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | 5.15 | +1.85 ft | 1 | Possible | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 26, 2026 | 5.89 | +2.72 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 25, 2026 | 5.62 | +2.63 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 24, 2026 | 5.98 | +3.05 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 23, 2026 | 5.84 | +2.98 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 5.34 | +2.67 ft | 1 | Possible | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 5.26 | +2.76 ft | 1 | Possible | Hutton Lane |
| Oct 12, 2025 | 6.18 | +2.96 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 16, 2025 | 5.57 | +2.61 ft | 1 | Likely | Hutton Lane |
| Sep 10, 2025 | 4.99 | +1.57 ft | 1 | Possible | Hutton Lane |

## Days with roads at risk, by year

| Year | Days | Highest water at the gauge (ft) | Most roads at risk | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| [1996](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/1996.md) | 1 | 5.05 | 1 | full |
| [1997](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/1997.md) | 2 | 5.54 | 1 | full |
| [1998](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/1998.md) | 6 | 6.58 | 1 | full |
| [1999](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/1999.md) | 5 | 5.97 | 1 | full |
| [2000](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2000.md) | 3 | 5.47 | 1 | full |
| [2001](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2001.md) | 0 | — | — | full |
| [2002](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2002.md) | 0 | — | — | full |
| [2003](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2003.md) | 2 | 7.89 | 14 | full |
| [2004](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2004.md) | 1 | 5.12 | 1 | full |
| [2005](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2005.md) | 1 | 5.00 | 1 | full |
| [2006](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2006.md) | 6 | 6.63 | 1 | full |
| [2007](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2007.md) | 0 | — | — | full |
| [2008](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2008.md) | 3 | 5.86 | 1 | full |
| [2009](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2009.md) | 9 | 7.73 | 12 | full |
| [2010](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2010.md) | 1 | 5.76 | 1 | full |
| [2011](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2011.md) | 2 | 7.55 | 10 | full |
| [2012](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2012.md) | 3 | 6.79 | 2 | full |
| [2013](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2013.md) | 4 | 5.49 | 1 | full |
| [2014](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2014.md) | 1 | 5.02 | 1 | full |
| [2015](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2015.md) | 6 | 6.50 | 1 | full |
| [2016](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2016.md) | 4 | 6.14 | 1 | full |
| [2017](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2017.md) | 2 | 5.22 | 1 | full |
| [2018](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2018.md) | 3 | 5.17 | 1 | full |
| [2019](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2019.md) | 4 | 5.78 | 1 | full |
| [2020](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2020.md) | 3 | 5.44 | 1 | full |
| [2021](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2021.md) | 5 | 5.40 | 1 | full |
| [2022](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2022.md) | 8 | 6.14 | 1 | full |
| [2023](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2023.md) | 4 | 5.71 | 1 | full |
| [2024](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2024.md) | 5 | 5.47 | 1 | full |
| [2025](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2025.md) | 7 | 6.18 | 1 | full |
| [2026](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history/2026.md) | 5 | 5.98 | 1 | partial |

## Method

For every day since 1996 we take NOAA's verified highest observed water at the tide gauge, adjust it to the town's prediction station exactly as the live forecast does (the gauge's departure from the tide tables, minus the departure already built into our calibration), and run FloodRoute's flood model on today's road network and street elevations. A day counts when at least one road in the town is at or below that water level by the model's rules. Rain is not included, so wet days were likely worse.

Data: [CSV](https://floodroute.com/data/history/va/lynnhaven.csv) · [JSON](https://floodroute.com/data/history/va/lynnhaven.json) · Open Database License (ODbL) 1.0 (https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/) · Credit: FloodRoute (floodroute.com), © OpenStreetMap contributors, NOAA CO-OPS · [All towns](https://floodroute.com/data.md)

## Frequently asked questions

### How often do roads flood at high tide in Lynnhaven?

By FloodRoute's estimate, at least one Lynnhaven road was at risk on 106 days between 1996 and Sep 30, 2026, about 3 a year. Those days have become more common: about 2 a year in 1996–2005, versus 5 a year in 2016–2025. Most of those days are shallow water on a few low streets; the [biggest days](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history) put dozens of roads at risk.

### What was the highest tide in Lynnhaven since 1996?

Thursday, September 18, 2003: NOAA's Sewells Point tide gauge recorded 7.89 ft (MLLW), 5.18 ft above the tide tables. At that level FloodRoute's model estimates 14 Lynnhaven roads were at risk, including Hutton Lane, Arrowfield Road and South Kings Road.

### When did a high tide last put Lynnhaven roads at risk?

The most recent day in the verified record is Sunday, September 27, 2026: 5.15 ft at the Sewells Point gauge, 1 road at risk. NOAA verifies data with a lag of a month or two; the [live forecast](https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven) covers today and the weeks ahead.

### Is this a record of actual flooding in Lynnhaven?

No. Estimates, not records of actual flooding. Each day is NOAA's verified high water at the tide gauge, run through FloodRoute's flood model on today's roads and elevations, in dry weather. Drains, levees, tide gates, rain, road changes and elevation error all mean real conditions differed. Not for property, real-estate, insurance, lending, engineering or legal decisions. Neighbor flood reports in the FloodRoute app are the ground truth we use to check and improve the model.

### Can I use this data?

Yes. Download it as [CSV](https://floodroute.com/data/history/va/lynnhaven.csv) or [JSON](https://floodroute.com/data/history/va/lynnhaven.json) under the Open Database License (ODbL) 1.0, with attribution to FloodRoute (floodroute.com), © OpenStreetMap contributors, NOAA CO-OPS. Please describe it as estimates, never as observed flooding. More on the [open data page](https://floodroute.com/data).

**Forecasts are estimates, not guarantees.** Never drive or walk through flood water: according to the National Weather Service, a foot of moving water can carry away most cars. Turn around, don’t drown. Always follow local authorities and official warnings.

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Web version: https://floodroute.com/va/lynnhaven/history · Site index for AI agents: https://floodroute.com/llms.txt · Every page is available as Markdown: add `.md` to its URL.

FloodRoute provides estimates only. Never drive or walk through flood water. © Axiomic, LLC · contact@axiomic.ai